Muri 2022, ubushobozi bwo gukora alumina buzakomeza kwaguka, umusaruro wa aluminium electrolytike uzagenda wiyongera buhoro buhoro, kandi ibiciro bya aluminiyumu bizerekana icyerekezo cyo kuzamuka mbere hanyuma kigabanuke.Ibiciro bya LME ni 2340-3230 US $ / toni, naho igiciro cya SMM (21535, -115.00, -0.53%) ni 17500-24800 yuan / toni.
Mu 2021, igiciro cya SMM cyiyongereyeho 31.82%, kandi icyerekezo cyacyo gishobora kugabanywa mu byiciro bibiri: guhera mu ntangiriro z'umwaka kugeza hagati mu Kwakira, bitewe no kuzamuka kw’ubukungu mu mahanga, kongera ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga, politiki yo kugenzura ibintu bibiri kuri gukoresha ingufu no kuzamuka cyane ibiciro bya gaze gasanzwe mumahanga, ibiciro bya aluminium bikomeje kwiyongera.;Kuva mu mpera z'Ukwakira, Ubushinwa bwivanze mu biciro by'amakara, logique yo gushyigikira ibiciro yarasenyutse, kandi ibiciro bya aluminiyumu byagabanutse cyane.Umwaka urangiye, kubera izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ingufu mu Burayi, hatangiye kwiyongera.
1.Ubushobozi bwa Aluminina bukomeje kwiyongera
Kuva muri Mutarama kugeza Ugushyingo 2021, umusaruro wa alumina ku isi wakusanyije ugera kuri toni miliyoni 127, umwaka ushize wiyongereyeho 4.3%, muri yo umusaruro wa alumina w’Abashinwa wari toni miliyoni 69.01, umwaka ushize wiyongereyeho 6.5%.Muri 2022, hari imishinga myinshi ya alumina igomba gushyirwa mubikorwa mu gihugu no hanze yacyo, cyane cyane muri Indoneziya.Byongeye kandi, uruganda rwa Jamalco alumina rutanga umusaruro wa toni miliyoni 1.42 buri mwaka biteganijwe ko ruzatangira mu 2022.
Kugeza mu Kuboza 2021, abashinwa alumina yubatswe ni toni miliyoni 89.54, naho ubushobozi bwayo bukaba toni miliyoni 72.25.Biteganijwe ko umusaruro mushya uzaba toni miliyoni 7.3 mu 2022, naho ubushobozi bwo kongera kubyaza umusaruro bugera kuri toni miliyoni 2.
Muri rusange, ubushobozi bwo gutanga umusaruro wa alumina ku isi buri mu bihe birenze.
2.2022 uko isoko ryifashe
Muri 2022, biteganijwe ko Federasiyo izamura igipimo cyinyungu, kandi ibiciro byicyuma bizaba munsi yigitutu rusange.Politiki y’imari y’imbere mu gihugu yashyizwe imbere, ishoramari ry’ibikorwa remezo riziyongera mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka, kandi icyifuzo cya aluminium kizatera imbere.Kubera ko kugenzura imitungo itimukanwa bitorohewe, turashobora kwibanda kubisabwa aluminiyumu ivuye mumodoka nshya yinganda ninganda zifotora.Uruhande rutanga rwita ku musaruro wa aluminium electrolytike.Mu rwego rwa “karuboni ebyiri”, ingufu za aluminiyumu ya electrolytike yo mu gihugu irashobora gukomeza kuba mike, ariko biteganijwe ko izaba nziza kuruta 2021. Umubare uteganijwe ko umusaruro wiyongera kandi ugasubira mu mahanga mu 2022 nawo ni mwinshi.
Muri rusange, itandukaniro riri hagati yo gutanga no gukenera aluminium ya electrolytike izagabanuka mu 2022. Bizaba bikomeye mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka kandi bizatera imbere mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka.Igiciro cya aluminiyumu kizerekana inzira yo kuzamuka mbere hanyuma igabanuke.Ibiciro bya aluminiyumu i Londres ni 2340-3230 US $ / toni, naho ibiciro bya aluminium ya Shanghai ni 17500-24800 yu / toni.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Mutarama-17-2022