Kuva hagati muri Kamena, yakururutswe no gukoresha nabi, aluminium ya Shanghai yagabanutse kuva hejuru igera kuri 17.025 yu / toni, igabanuka rya 20% mu kwezi kumwe.Vuba aha, bitewe no kugarura imyumvire yisoko, ibiciro bya aluminiyumu byazamutseho gato, ariko ishingiro ryibanze ryisoko rya aluminiyumu ryazamutse cyane kubiciro.Kubwibyo, birashoboka cyane ko igiciro cya aluminiyumu kizanyuranya n’igiciro cy’ibiciro mu gihembwe cya gatatu, kandi igiciro cya aluminiyumu gishobora kugira icyerekezo mu gihembwe cya kane.Niba hashyizweho politiki ikomeye yo gukurura ibicuruzwa, ijyanye namakuru yo kugabanya umusaruro kuruhande rwibicuruzwa, amahirwe yo kuzamuka kwa aluminiyumu ni menshi.Byongeye kandi, kubera ko biteganijwe ko Federasiyo izamura igipimo cy’inyungu, ibintu bibi bya macro bizatuma habaho kugabanuka kw'ikigo cy’ibiciro cya aluminiyumu umwaka wose, kandi uburebure bwo kuzamuka mu isoko ntibukwiye kuba bwiza.
Ubwiyongere bw'amasoko burakomeje
Ku ruhande rwo gutanga, kubera ko Aluminium ya Shanghai yaguye ku murongo w’ibiciro, inyungu mpuzandengo y’inganda zose yavuye ku gipimo cyo hejuru ya 5.700 / toni mu mwaka mu mwaka kugeza igihombo cya Yuan 500 / toni, n’umusaruro w’umusaruro ubushobozi bwiyongera.Nyamara, mu myaka ibiri ishize, impuzandengo y’umusaruro wa aluminiyumu ya electrolytique wageze kuri 3.000 Yuan / toni, kandi inyungu kuri toni ya aluminiyumu iracyatanga cyane nyuma yo gutakaza toni ya aluminiyumu igabanywa ku nyungu zabanjirije iyi .Mubyongeyeho, ikiguzi cyo gutangira selile ya electrolytique ni hejuru ya 2000 yuan / toni.Gukomeza umusaruro biracyari byiza kuruta ibiciro byo gutangira.Kubwibyo, igihombo cyigihe gito ntabwo kizahita gitera ibihingwa bya aluminiyumu guhagarika umusaruro cyangwa kugabanya ubushobozi bwumusaruro, kandi igitutu cyo gutanga kizakomeza kubaho.
Nko mu mpera za Kamena, ubushobozi bwo gukora aluminium ya electrolytike yo mu gihugu bwiyongereye bugera kuri toni miliyoni 41.Uyu mwanditsi yizera ko hamwe n’umusaruro wongeye gukorwa ndetse no gusohora buhoro buhoro ubushobozi bushya bwo gukora muri Guangxi, Yunnan na Mongoliya y’imbere, ubushobozi bwo gukora buzagera kuri toni miliyoni 41.4 mu mpera za Nyakanga.Kandi igipimo cyigihugu cya electrolytike ya aluminium ikora ni 92.1%, hejuru cyane.Ubwiyongere bwubushobozi bwumusaruro nabwo buzagaragarira mubisohoka.Muri kamena, igihugu cyanjye cya aluminiyumu ya electrolytike yari toni miliyoni 3.361, cyiyongereyeho 4.48% umwaka ushize.Biteganijwe ko bitewe nigipimo kinini cyo gukora, umuvuduko wubwiyongere bwumusaruro wa aluminium electrolytike mugihembwe cya gatatu uzakomeza kwiyongera.Byongeye kandi, kuva amakimbirane y’Uburusiya na Ukraine yiyongera, toni zigera ku 25.000-30.000 za Rusal zitumizwa mu mahanga ku kwezi, ibyo bikaba byaratumye umubare w’ibicuruzwa byinjira mu isoko byiyongera ku isoko, ibyo bikaba byarahagaritse uruhande rusabwa, hanyuma ugahagarika ibiciro bya aluminium.
Gutegereza kugarura ibyifuzo byimbere mu gihugu
Ku ruhande rw'ibisabwa, icyibandwaho muri iki gihe ni ukumenya niba gukira gukomeye kw'ibisabwa nyuma y’iterambere ry’imbere mu gihugu bishobora kugerwaho nigihe cyo kuzuza.Ugereranije n’ibikenewe mu gihugu, kwiyongera kwa aluminiyumu yohereza mu mahanga mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka niyo mbaraga nyamukuru zatumaga ikoreshwa rya aluminium.Ariko, nyuma yo gukuraho ingaruka zivunjisha, igipimo cya aluminium ya Shanghai-London cyagarutse.Hamwe n’igabanuka ryihuse ry’inyungu zoherezwa mu mahanga, biteganijwe ko izamuka ry’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga rizaba ridakomeye.
Bitandukanye n’ibikenewe mu gihugu, isoko yo hasi irakora cyane mu gufata ibicuruzwa, kandi kugabanuka kwahantu byagabanutse, bigatuma igabanuka ry’ibiciro by’ibarura mu byumweru bibiri nigice gishize, kandi ibicuruzwa byiyongereye mu gihe cy’ibihe.Urebye ibyifuzo byanyuma, urwego rwimitungo itimukanwa ruteganijwe gutera imbere, mugihe isoko ryimodoka, ryakagombye kuba ryinjiye mubihe bitari byiza, ryagarutse cyane.Ku isoko ry’imodoka, amakuru yerekana ko umusaruro muri Kamena wari miliyoni 2.499, wiyongereyeho 29.75% ukwezi ku kwezi n’umwaka ku mwaka kwiyongera 28.2%.Iterambere rusange ryinganda ni ryinshi.Muri rusange, kugabanuka gukenewe kwimbere mu gihugu birashobora gukumira gukumira igabanuka ry’ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga, ariko ishyirwa mu bikorwa rya politiki y’inganda zitimukanwa ziracyatwara igihe, kandi guhagarika no gusana isoko rya aluminiyumu birategereje ko bigerwaho. .
Muri rusange, isoko rya aluminiyumu iriho ubu riterwa ahanini n’imyumvire y’isoko, kandi nta kimenyetso gihinduka kuri ubu.Kugeza ubu, ibyingenzi biracyari muburyo buvuguruzanya hagati yo gutanga n'ibisabwa.Igabanuka ry'umusaruro kuruhande rutanga isoko rikeneye kubona inyungu zikomeje kugabanuka, kandi kugarukira kuruhande rusabwa bigomba gutegereza irekurwa rya politiki nziza no kunoza cyane amakuru mu murima.Haracyari ibyiringiro byo kuzamuka cyane mu rwego rw’imitungo itimukanwa, ariko kubera ingaruka mbi zo kuzamuka kw’inyungu za Federasiyo, kongera kwiyongera kwa Shanghai abatanga umwirondoro wa aluminiumbizagarukira.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Kanama-03-2022