Raporo y’ubushakashatsi bwa CICC ivuga ko, kuva mu gihembwe cya kabiri, impungenge z’itangwa ry’ingaruka zijyanye n’Uburusiya na Ukraine zahagaritswe, Uburayi na Amerika byinjiye mu nzira yo “kuzamura inyungu z’inyungu”, kandi ibisabwa mu nganda zimwe na zimwe zo mu mahanga byatangiye gucika intege.Muri icyo gihe, ibikorwa byo mu ngo, inganda n’ubwubatsi byahungabanijwe n’iki cyorezo., ibiciro by'ibyuma bidafite fer byagabanutse.Mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka, ibisabwa mu bikorwa remezo by’Ubushinwa n’ubwubatsi birashobora gutera imbere, ariko biragoye gukemura intege nke z’ibikenewe hanze.Igabanuka ryubwiyongere bwibikenewe ku isi rishobora gutuma habaho igabanuka ryigiciro cyibicuruzwa fatizo.Nyamara, mugihe giciriritse nigihe kirekire, inzibacyuho yingufu zizakomeza gutanga umusanzu mukwiyongera kubutare butagira fer.
CICC yizera ko hagomba kwitabwaho cyane cyane ku ngaruka z’izamuka ry’inyungu mu mahanga ku giciro cy’ifaranga mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka, kikaba ari ingenzi mu gusuzuma niba ubukungu bw’amahanga buzagwa muri “stagflation” umwaka utaha cyangwa no mu gihe kizaza ndetse n’ejo hazaza igihe cyo gusaba.Ku isoko ry’imbere mu gihugu, nubwo icyifuzo cyo kuzuza imitungo itimukanwa gishobora gutera imbere mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka, urebye ko umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere bw’imitungo mishya itangira mu Bushinwa wagabanutse cyane kuva mu 2020, icyifuzo cyo kuzuza imitungo itimukanwa gishobora guhinduka nabi muri 2023, kandi ibyerekezo biragoye kuvuga ibyiringiro.Byongeye kandi, ingaruka z’ibicuruzwa bitangwa ku isi ntizigeze zigabanuka, nk'ibyabaye muri politiki, kongera inzitizi z’ubucuruzi, no gukumira ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga, ariko amahirwe yo kuba ibintu bikabije aragabanuka, kandi ingaruka ku ishingiro ry’ibicuruzwa nazo zishobora gucika intege.Ibi bitekerezo biciriritse nigihe kirekire birashobora kandi kugira ingaruka kubiteganijwe ku isoko no kugiciro cyibiciro mugice cya kabiri cyumwaka.
Ku bijyanye n'umuringa, CICC yizera ko ukurikije itangwa ry'umuringa ku isi ndetse n'impapuro ziringaniza, ikigo cy’ibiciro by’umuringa gikunda kugabanuka mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka.Urebye itangwa ry’ibirombe bishya by’umuringa, urwego rwo hasi rw’ibiciro by’umuringa ruzakomeza kugumana umuringa uhebuje ugera kuri 30% ugereranije n’igiciro cy’amafaranga y’ibirombe by’umuringa, itandukaniro riri hagati y’ibitangwa n’ibisabwa ryaragabanutse, kandi ibiciro birashobora kugabanuka. igice cya kabiri cy'umwaka.Kubijyanye na aluminium, inkunga yibiciro irakora, ariko izamuka ryibiciro rishobora kugarukira mugice cya kabiri cyumwaka.Muri byo, izamuka ry’ibiciro bya aluminiyumu rizakururwa n’ibintu bitangwa n’ibisabwa.Ku ruhande rumwe, Ubushinwa bwongera ubushobozi bw’umusaruro hamwe n’ibiteganijwe kongera umusaruro bishobora guhagarika izamuka ry’ibiciro.Ku rundi ruhande, nubwo biteganijwe ko ibikorwa by’ubwubatsi by’Ubushinwa bishobora kwiyongera mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka.Kwisubiraho bizaganisha ku bintu byiza, ariko icyerekezo cyo kurangiza no kubaka umwaka utaha ntabwo cyizere mugihe runaka.Ku bijyanye n’ingaruka zitangwa, nubwo ibintu bishobora gukomeza kubaho, ingaruka zishoboka ni nkeya: Icya mbere, birashoboka ko RUSAL yagabanya umusaruro ari muke, kandi nubwo hakiri ibyago byo kugabanya umusaruro muburayi, agaciro rusange gashobora kuba hasi kuruta ibyo mu mpera z'umwaka ushize.Igabanuka ryibicuruzwa byaragabanutse cyane, kandi ingaruka zifatika nazo zagiye zigabanuka.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Nyakanga-01-2022